EdgeTake

3B · PIT

Jared Triolo — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Total Bases
22
Per Game
0.79
Projection
0.81
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 28 games this season, Jared Triolo (PIT) is averaging 0.79 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.5. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 18% of games this season. We project 0.81, short of the 0.84 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +120 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, +5.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -157 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +120 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jared Triolo went over in 5 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.84 — edge -0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.516/2857%
1.55/2818%
2.51/284%
3.50/280%

Share of 2026 games Triolo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.79

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.83
Away (16)
0.75
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM2Over
2026-03-28vs NYM1Under
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs CIN1Under
2026-04-03vs BAL2Over
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ2Over
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF1Under
2026-05-13vs COL1Under
2026-05-14vs COL2Over
2026-05-15vs PHI1Under
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL3Over
2026-05-21vs STL1Under
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC1Under
2026-05-28vs CHC1Under
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN1Under
2026-05-31vs MIN1Under
2026-06-03vs HOU0Under
2026-06-04vs HOU1Under
2026-06-05vs HOU0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jared Triolo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.