CF · DET
James Outman — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 47 games this season, James Outman (DET) is averaging 0.3 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.3. They've gone over 0.5 in 26% of those games. Our model projects 0.48, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Michael Wacha (RHP)
Career vs Michael Wacha: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), James Outman went over in 12 of 47 2026 games.
Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12/47 | 26% |
| 1.5 | 2/47 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Outman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-27 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-30 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See James Outman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.