C · DET
Jake Rogers — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 19 games this season, Jake Rogers (DET) is averaging 0.84 total bases per game, trending up to 1 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 37% of games. Our model projects 1.01, a step above the market line of 0.83.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 +102 at Caesars — model 50% to hit, +0.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jake Rogers went over in 7 of 19 2026 games.
Our projection 1.01 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.18.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/19 | 37% |
| 1.5 | 4/19 | 21% |
| 2.5 | 2/19 | 11% |
| 3.5 | 2/19 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Rogers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Rogers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.