1B · MIL
Jake Bauers — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 53 games this season, Jake Bauers (MIL) is averaging 1.7 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.5. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 43% of games this season. We project 1.94, ahead of the 1.03 market line.
Next: @ COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -116 at DraftKings — model 53% to hit, -1.0% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Jake Bauers went over in 23 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 1.94 vs market line 1.03 — edge +0.91.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 34/53 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 23/53 | 43% |
| 2.5 | 16/53 | 30% |
| 3.5 | 11/53 | 21% |
Share of 2026 games Bauers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Bauers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.