1B · MIL
Jake Bauers — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 53 games this season, Jake Bauers (MIL) is averaging 0.94 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.6. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 28% of games this season. Our projection of 1.12 sits above the market line of 0.62.
Next: @ COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -233 at DraftKings — model 69% to hit, -1.9% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Jake Bauers went over in 15 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 1.12 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.5.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 34/53 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 15/53 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 1/53 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Bauers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Bauers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.