EdgeTake

LF · MIL

Jackson Chourio — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Stolen Bases
6
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jackson Chourio (MIL) has averaged 0.1 stolen bases per game across 59 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 8% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.12 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Ryan Feltner (RHP)

vs LHP
.312
.890 OPS · 4 HR · 86 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.263
.776 OPS · 9 HR · 227 PA

Career vs Ryan Feltner: 1-for-10 (.100 AVG) over 11 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +575 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -1400 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jackson Chourio went over in 5 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/598%

Share of 2026 games Chourio finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.14
Away (30)
0.07
Home edge
+0.07

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-05-04vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs SD1Over
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN1Over
2026-05-18vs CHC1Over
2026-05-19vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL2Over
2026-05-26vs STL0Under
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs SF0Under
2026-06-03vs SF0Under
2026-06-04vs SF0Under
2026-06-06vs COL0Under
2026-06-07vs COL0Under
2026-06-07vs COL0Under
2026-06-09vs ATH0Under
2026-06-10vs ATH0Under
2026-06-11vs ATH0Under
2026-06-12vs PHI0Under
2026-06-13vs PHI0Under
2026-06-14vs PHI0Under
2026-06-16vs CLE0Under
2026-06-17vs CLE0Under
2026-06-18vs CLE0Under
2026-06-19vs ATL0Under
2026-06-20vs ATL0Under
2026-06-21vs ATL0Under
2026-06-22vs CIN0Under
2026-06-23vs CIN0Under
2026-06-24vs CIN0Under
2026-06-26vs CHC0Under
2026-06-27vs CHC1Over
2026-06-28vs CHC0Under
2026-06-29vs CIN0Under
2026-06-30vs CIN0Under
2026-07-02vs CIN0Under
2026-07-02vs CIN0Under
2026-07-04vs AZ0Under
2026-07-05vs AZ0Under
2026-07-05vs AZ0Under
2026-07-06vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs STL0Under
2026-07-08vs STL0Under
2026-07-09vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Chourio’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.