RF · KC
Jac Caglianone — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 87 games this season, Jac Caglianone (KC) is averaging 0.91 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.8. 23% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 1, a step above the market line of 0.54.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 6 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Casey Mize (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 0.5 +173 at DraftKings — model 36% to hit, -2.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Jac Caglianone went over in 20 of 87 2026 games.
Our projection 1 vs market line 0.54 — edge +0.46.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 53/87 | 61% |
| 1.5 | 20/87 | 23% |
| 2.5 | 5/87 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Caglianone finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-11 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-02 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-06 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-07 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jac Caglianone’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.