EdgeTake

DH · STL

Iván Herrera — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Hits
58
Per Game
0.97
Projection
1.27
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Iván Herrera (STL) has averaged 0.97 hits per game across 60 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.8. 18% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.27, ahead of the 0.96 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +180 at BetRivers — model 35% to hit, -1.4% EV.

Over 1.5 +180 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -221 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Iván Herrera went over in 11 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 1.27 vs market line 0.96 — edge +0.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.545/6075%
1.511/6018%
2.51/602%

Share of 2026 games Herrera finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.97

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (32)
0.88
Away (28)
1.07
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB0Under
2026-03-28vs TB1Under
2026-03-29vs TB0Under
2026-03-30vs NYM1Under
2026-03-31vs NYM1Under
2026-04-01vs NYM1Under
2026-04-03vs DET1Under
2026-04-04vs DET1Under
2026-04-05vs DET1Under
2026-04-06vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH0Under
2026-04-08vs WSH1Under
2026-04-11vs BOS1Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-12vs BOS1Under
2026-04-13vs CLE1Under
2026-04-14vs CLE1Under
2026-04-15vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs HOU2Over
2026-04-18vs HOU1Under
2026-04-19vs HOU1Under
2026-04-20vs MIA1Under
2026-04-21vs MIA2Over
2026-04-22vs MIA1Under
2026-04-25vs SEA1Under
2026-04-25vs SEA1Under
2026-04-26vs SEA1Under
2026-04-27vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs PIT1Under
2026-04-29vs PIT2Over
2026-04-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs LAD2Over
2026-05-02vs LAD1Under
2026-05-03vs LAD0Under
2026-05-04vs MIL2Over
2026-05-06vs MIL1Under
2026-05-08vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs SD4Over
2026-05-09vs SD2Over
2026-05-10vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs ATH2Over
2026-05-14vs ATH1Under
2026-05-14vs ATH1Under
2026-05-16vs KC1Under
2026-05-16vs KC1Under
2026-05-17vs KC1Under
2026-05-19vs PIT1Under
2026-05-20vs PIT0Under
2026-05-21vs PIT2Over
2026-05-22vs CIN2Over
2026-05-23vs CIN1Under
2026-05-25vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs MIL1Under
2026-05-27vs MIL1Under
2026-05-29vs CHC1Under
2026-05-30vs CHC0Under
2026-05-31vs CHC2Over
2026-06-01vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs TEX1Under
2026-06-03vs TEX1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Iván Herrera’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.