EdgeTake

2B · BOS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
31
Total Bases
30
Per Game
0.97
Projection
1.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 31 games this season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa (BOS) is averaging 0.97 total bases per game, trending up to 1.7 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 52% of games. Our projection of 1.42 sits above the market line of 0.79.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -182 at Caesars — model 61% to hit, -4.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -182 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Isiah Kiner-Falefa went over in 16 of 31 2026 games.

Our projection 1.42 vs market line 0.79 — edge +0.63.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.516/3152%
1.510/3132%
2.52/316%
3.51/313%

Share of 2026 games Kiner-Falefa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.70
Season avg
0.97

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.88
Away (15)
1.07
Home edge
-0.19

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL1Over
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIN1Over
2026-04-15vs MIN2Over
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET1Over
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL2Over
2026-04-29vs TOR1Over
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL2Over
2026-05-19vs KC3Over
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN2Over
2026-05-26vs ATL5Over
2026-05-27vs ATL1Over
2026-05-28vs ATL2Over
2026-05-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-30vs CLE2Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Over
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under
2026-06-03vs BAL2Over
2026-06-04vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.