EdgeTake

3B · HOU

Isaac Paredes — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Runs
24
Per Game
0.41
Projection
0.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Isaac Paredes (HOU) is averaging 0.41 runs per game, trending up to 0.5 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 29% of games this season. Our model projects 0.51, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +125 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -150 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Isaac Paredes went over in 17 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/5829%
1.56/5810%

Share of 2026 games Paredes finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.41

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.40
Away (28)
0.43
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA2Over
2026-03-29vs LAA1Over
2026-03-31vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS1Over
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL1Over
2026-04-11vs SEA1Over
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA0Under
2026-04-15vs COL0Under
2026-04-16vs COL0Under
2026-04-17vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-19vs STL0Under
2026-04-20vs CLE2Over
2026-04-21vs CLE1Over
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-26vs NYY3Over
2026-04-28vs BAL0Under
2026-04-29vs BAL2Over
2026-04-30vs BAL1Over
2026-05-01vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs BOS0Under
2026-05-03vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs LAD1Over
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX1Over
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN1Over
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC1Over
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX2Over
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under
2026-06-04vs PIT2Over
2026-06-05vs PIT1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Isaac Paredes’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.