LF · CHC
Ian Happ — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 59 games this season, Ian Happ (CHC) is averaging 1.86 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 3.2. They've gone over 1.5 in 44% of those games. We project 1.71, ahead of the 1.17 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -143 at Caesars — model 57% to hit, -2.7% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Ian Happ went over in 26 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 1.71 vs market line 1.17 — edge +0.54.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 34/59 | 58% |
| 1.5 | 26/59 | 44% |
| 2.5 | 18/59 | 31% |
| 3.5 | 15/59 | 25% |
Share of 2026 games Happ finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 9 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs ATH | 6 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ian Happ’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.