LF · CHC
Ian Happ — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ian Happ (CHC) has averaged 0.7 runs per game across 60 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 52% of games this season. We project 0.57, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Ian Happ went over in 31 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 0.57 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 31/60 | 52% |
| 1.5 | 10/60 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Happ finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ian Happ’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.