EdgeTake

LF · MIA

Heriberto Hernández — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
64
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Heriberto Hernández (MIA) sits at 0.08 stolen bases per game through 64 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 8% of games this season. Our model projects 0.03, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: JP Sears (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.271
.963 OPS · 8 HR · 97 PA
vs RHP
.238
.726 OPS · 6 HR · 161 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1150 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Heriberto Hernández went over in 5 of 64 2026 games.

Our projection 0.03 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/648%

Share of 2026 games Hernández finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.06
Away (33)
0.09
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL0Under
2026-03-29vs COL0Under
2026-03-30vs CWS0Under
2026-03-31vs CWS0Under
2026-04-01vs CWS0Under
2026-04-03vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN1Over
2026-04-09vs CIN0Under
2026-04-11vs DET1Over
2026-04-12vs DET0Under
2026-04-13vs ATL1Over
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs MIL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-22vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-10vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-17vs TB0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL1Over
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR1Over
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under
2026-06-03vs WSH0Under
2026-06-06vs TB0Under
2026-06-07vs TB0Under
2026-06-10vs AZ0Under
2026-06-11vs AZ0Under
2026-06-12vs PIT0Under
2026-06-13vs PIT0Under
2026-06-14vs PIT0Under
2026-06-15vs PHI0Under
2026-06-16vs PHI0Under
2026-06-19vs SF0Under
2026-06-20vs SF0Under
2026-06-22vs TEX0Under
2026-06-23vs TEX0Under
2026-06-24vs TEX0Under
2026-06-27vs STL0Under
2026-06-27vs STL0Under
2026-06-28vs STL0Under
2026-06-30vs COL0Under
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-04vs ATH0Under
2026-07-05vs ATH0Under
2026-07-05vs ATH0Under
2026-07-07vs SEA0Under
2026-07-08vs SEA0Under
2026-07-09vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Heriberto Hernández’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.