EdgeTake

2B · DET

Hao-Yu Lee — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
52
Runs
11
Per Game
0.21
Projection
0.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 52 games this season, Hao-Yu Lee (DET) is averaging 0.21 runs per game, trending up to 0.3 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 19% of games this season. Our model projects 0.44, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Michael Wacha (RHP)

vs LHP
.276
.760 OPS · 2 HR · 81 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.260
.675 OPS · 3 HR · 100 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +140 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -190 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Hao-Yu Lee went over in 10 of 52 2026 games.

Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/5219%
1.51/522%

Share of 2026 games Lee finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.21

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.12
Away (27)
0.30
Home edge
-0.18

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-17vs BOS0Under
2026-04-19vs BOS0Under
2026-04-20vs BOS1Over
2026-04-21vs MIL0Under
2026-04-24vs CIN0Under
2026-04-25vs CIN0Under
2026-04-26vs CIN1Over
2026-04-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-01vs TEX0Under
2026-05-02vs TEX0Under
2026-05-03vs TEX1Over
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-09vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Over
2026-05-12vs NYM0Under
2026-05-15vs TOR0Under
2026-05-16vs TOR0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE0Under
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-22vs BAL0Under
2026-05-23vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-01vs TB2Over
2026-06-13vs CLE0Under
2026-06-16vs HOU0Under
2026-06-17vs HOU1Over
2026-06-17vs HOU0Under
2026-06-19vs CWS0Under
2026-06-20vs CWS0Under
2026-06-21vs CWS0Under
2026-06-22vs NYY1Over
2026-06-23vs NYY0Under
2026-06-24vs NYY0Under
2026-06-25vs HOU0Under
2026-06-27vs HOU1Over
2026-06-28vs HOU0Under
2026-06-29vs NYY0Under
2026-06-30vs NYY0Under
2026-07-01vs NYY1Over
2026-07-03vs TEX1Over
2026-07-05vs TEX0Under
2026-07-07vs ATH0Under
2026-07-08vs ATH0Under
2026-07-09vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Hao-Yu Lee’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.