EdgeTake

LF · MIA

Griffin Conine — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Runs
12
Per Game
0.46
Projection
0.47
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Griffin Conine (MIA) has averaged 0.46 runs per game across 26 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 31% of games this season. We project 0.47, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: JP Sears (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.188
.423 OPS · 0 HR · 17 PA
vs RHP
.286
.970 OPS · 7 HR · 96 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +160 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -220 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Griffin Conine went over in 8 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.47 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/2631%
1.54/2615%

Share of 2026 games Conine finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.46

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.62
Away (13)
0.31
Home edge
+0.31

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL0Under
2026-03-28vs COL0Under
2026-03-30vs CWS1Over
2026-03-31vs CWS2Over
2026-04-03vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY1Over
2026-04-07vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN2Over
2026-04-09vs CIN0Under
2026-06-21vs SF0Under
2026-06-22vs TEX0Under
2026-06-24vs TEX0Under
2026-06-27vs STL0Under
2026-06-27vs STL0Under
2026-06-28vs STL0Under
2026-06-30vs COL2Over
2026-07-01vs COL1Over
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-04vs ATH0Under
2026-07-05vs ATH0Under
2026-07-05vs ATH0Under
2026-07-07vs SEA1Over
2026-07-08vs SEA0Under
2026-07-09vs SEA2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Griffin Conine’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.