EdgeTake

RF · PHI

Gabriel Rincones Jr. — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
6
Total Bases
5
Per Game
0.83
Projection
1.57
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI) has averaged 0.83 total bases per game across 6 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.83. The over on 1.5 has hit in 17% of games. Our projection of 1.57 sits above the market line of 0.72.

Next matchup

Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.000
.000 OPS · 0 HR · 2 PA
vs RHP
.059
.294 OPS · 1 HR · 17 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -130 at Caesars — model 59% to hit, +3.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -130 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -103 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Gabriel Rincones Jr. went over in 1 of 6 2026 games.

Our projection 1.57 vs market line 0.72 — edge +0.85.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/633%
1.51/617%
2.51/617%
3.51/617%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 6 avg
0.83
Season avg
0.83

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 6 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
1.00
Away (1)
0.00
Home edge
+1.00

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-06-12vs MIL0Under
2026-06-15vs MIA4Over
2026-06-16vs MIA0Under
2026-06-17vs MIA0Under
2026-06-18vs NYM1Under
2026-06-20vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Rincones Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.