EdgeTake

RF · PHI

Gabriel Rincones Jr. — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
6
Runs
1
Per Game
0.17
Projection
0.53
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI) sits at 0.17 runs per game through 6 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.17. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 17% of games this season. Our model projects 0.53, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.000
.000 OPS · 0 HR · 2 PA
vs RHP
.059
.294 OPS · 1 HR · 17 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +175 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -235 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Gabriel Rincones Jr. went over in 1 of 6 2026 games.

Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/617%
1.50/60%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 6 avg
0.17
Season avg
0.17

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 6 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.20
Away (1)
0.00
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-12vs MIL0Under
2026-06-15vs MIA1Over
2026-06-16vs MIA0Under
2026-06-17vs MIA0Under
2026-06-18vs NYM0Under
2026-06-20vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Rincones Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.