RF · PHI
Gabriel Rincones Jr. — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI) sits at 0.17 home runs per game through 6 games, tracking close to that at 0.17 over the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 2.5. Our projection of 0.15 comes in under the market line of 1.1.
Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Gabriel Rincones Jr. went over in 0 of 6 2026 games.
Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.1 — edge -0.95.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/6 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 6 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Rincones Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.