EdgeTake

RF · PHI

Gabriel Rincones Jr. — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
6
Hits
2
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.69
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI) has averaged 0.33 hits per game across 6 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.33. 33% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.69 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.000
.000 OPS · 0 HR · 2 PA
vs RHP
.059
.294 OPS · 1 HR · 17 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -101 at DraftKings — model 49% to hit, -3.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -130 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -101 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Gabriel Rincones Jr. went over in 2 of 6 2026 games.

Our projection 0.69 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.19.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/633%
1.50/60%
2.50/60%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 6 avg
0.33
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 6 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.40
Away (1)
0.00
Home edge
+0.40

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-06-12vs MIL0Under
2026-06-15vs MIA1Over
2026-06-16vs MIA0Under
2026-06-17vs MIA0Under
2026-06-18vs NYM1Over
2026-06-20vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Rincones Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.