C · AZ
Gabriel Moreno — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 66 games this season, Gabriel Moreno (AZ) is averaging 0.09 home runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 9% of games. Our model projects 0.1, below the market line of 1.15.
Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Gabriel Moreno went over in 6 of 66 2026 games.
Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.15 — edge -1.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/66 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Moreno finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-09 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Moreno’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.