EdgeTake

1B · LAD

Freddie Freeman — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
91
Runs
52
Per Game
0.57
Projection
0.53
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Freddie Freeman (LAD) sits at 0.57 runs per game through 91 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 46% of games this season. We project 0.53, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYM — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Nolan McLean (RHP)

vs LHP
.246
.724 OPS · 4 HR · 139 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.317
.927 OPS · 11 HR · 299 PA

Career vs Nolan McLean: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Freddie Freeman went over in 42 of 91 2026 games.

Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.542/9146%
1.59/9110%

Share of 2026 games Freeman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.57

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (47)
0.45
Away (44)
0.70
Home edge
-0.26

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ0Under
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE1Over
2026-04-02vs CLE1Over
2026-04-03vs WSH1Over
2026-04-04vs WSH0Under
2026-04-05vs WSH1Over
2026-04-06vs TOR2Over
2026-04-07vs TOR0Under
2026-04-08vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs TEX1Over
2026-04-12vs TEX0Under
2026-04-14vs NYM1Over
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-16vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs COL1Over
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-22vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC1Over
2026-04-26vs CHC0Under
2026-04-28vs MIA1Over
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL1Over
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-03vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU1Over
2026-05-09vs ATL1Over
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF1Over
2026-05-13vs SF0Under
2026-05-14vs SF0Under
2026-05-15vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD2Over
2026-05-21vs SD0Under
2026-05-22vs MIL0Under
2026-05-23vs MIL3Over
2026-05-24vs MIL1Over
2026-05-26vs COL1Over
2026-05-27vs COL2Over
2026-05-28vs COL1Over
2026-05-30vs PHI1Over
2026-05-31vs PHI0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-02vs AZ0Under
2026-06-03vs AZ1Over
2026-06-04vs AZ1Over
2026-06-05vs AZ0Under
2026-06-06vs LAA1Over
2026-06-07vs LAA1Over
2026-06-07vs LAA0Under
2026-06-09vs PIT2Over
2026-06-10vs PIT2Over
2026-06-11vs PIT1Over
2026-06-12vs CWS0Under
2026-06-13vs CWS0Under
2026-06-14vs CWS1Over
2026-06-16vs TB0Under
2026-06-17vs TB0Under
2026-06-17vs TB2Over
2026-06-20vs BAL0Under
2026-06-21vs BAL1Over
2026-06-21vs BAL0Under
2026-06-22vs MIN1Over
2026-06-23vs MIN1Over
2026-06-24vs MIN1Over
2026-06-27vs SD0Under
2026-06-28vs SD2Over
2026-06-28vs SD0Under
2026-06-30vs ATH0Under
2026-07-01vs ATH2Over
2026-07-02vs ATH1Over
2026-07-03vs SD0Under
2026-07-04vs SD0Under
2026-07-05vs SD1Over
2026-07-05vs SD0Under
2026-07-07vs COL0Under
2026-07-08vs COL0Under
2026-07-09vs COL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Freddie Freeman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.