C · NYM
Francisco Alvarez — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 61 games this season, Francisco Alvarez (NYM) is averaging 0 stolen bases per game, with the last 10 steady at 0. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 0% of games this season. Our projection of 0.02 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP)
Career vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 4 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Francisco Alvarez went over in 0 of 61 2026 games.
Our projection 0.02 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.48.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/61 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Alvarez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-06 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Francisco Alvarez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.