RF · SD
Fernando Tatis Jr. — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) has averaged 1.02 hits per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.7. The over on 0.5 has hit in 68% of games. Our projection of 1.09 sits above the market line of 0.84.
Next: vs NYM — their staff ranks 9 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -210 at BetMGM — model 66% to hit, -2.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Fernando Tatis Jr. went over in 41 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.09 vs market line 0.84 — edge +0.25.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/60 | 68% |
| 1.5 | 15/60 | 25% |
| 2.5 | 5/60 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Fernando Tatis Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.