EdgeTake

SS · COL

Ezequiel Tovar — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
87
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.06
Projection
0.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) sits at 0.06 stolen bases per game through 87 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 6% of those games. Our model projects 0.05, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Robert Gasser (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.189
.545 OPS · 1 HR · 104 PA
vs RHP
.198
.564 OPS · 7 HR · 255 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +880 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Ezequiel Tovar went over in 5 of 87 2026 games.

Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/876%

Share of 2026 games Tovar finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.06

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (43)
0.05
Away (44)
0.07
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA0Under
2026-03-28vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR1Over
2026-03-31vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-03vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD1Over
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-24vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-07vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI1Over
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT0Under
2026-05-14vs PIT0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF1Over
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under
2026-06-06vs MIL0Under
2026-06-07vs MIL0Under
2026-06-07vs MIL0Under
2026-06-10vs CHC0Under
2026-06-11vs CHC0Under
2026-06-11vs CHC0Under
2026-06-14vs ATH0Under
2026-06-16vs CHC0Under
2026-06-17vs CHC0Under
2026-06-18vs CHC0Under
2026-06-20vs PIT0Under
2026-06-21vs PIT0Under
2026-06-23vs BOS0Under
2026-06-24vs BOS0Under
2026-06-24vs BOS0Under
2026-06-27vs MIN0Under
2026-06-27vs MIN1Over
2026-06-28vs MIN0Under
2026-06-30vs MIA0Under
2026-07-01vs MIA0Under
2026-07-02vs MIA0Under
2026-07-02vs MIA0Under
2026-07-04vs SF0Under
2026-07-05vs SF0Under
2026-07-05vs SF0Under
2026-07-07vs LAD0Under
2026-07-08vs LAD0Under
2026-07-09vs LAD0Under
2026-07-10vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ezequiel Tovar’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.