EdgeTake

RF · MIA

Esteury Ruiz — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
21
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.14
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) sits at 0.14 home runs per game through 21 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. 14% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.12 comes in under the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Esteury Ruiz went over in 3 of 21 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 1 — edge -0.88.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/2114%

Share of 2026 games Ruiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.14

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.09
Away (10)
0.20
Home edge
-0.11

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Over
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-03vs WSH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Esteury Ruiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.