EdgeTake

2B · TOR

Ernie Clement — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
90
Home Runs
7
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 90 games this season, Ernie Clement (TOR) is averaging 0.08 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 8% of games. We project 0.08, short of the 1.31 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Sonny Gray (RHP)

vs LHP
.273
.732 OPS · 3 HR · 118 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.301
.740 OPS · 5 HR · 290 PA

Career vs Sonny Gray: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +575 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ernie Clement went over in 7 of 90 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 1.31 — edge -1.23.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/908%

Share of 2026 games Clement finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (48)
0.13
Away (42)
0.02
Home edge
+0.10

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATH0Under
2026-03-28vs ATH0Under
2026-03-29vs ATH0Under
2026-03-30vs COL0Under
2026-03-31vs COL0Under
2026-04-01vs COL0Under
2026-04-02vs CWS0Under
2026-04-04vs CWS0Under
2026-04-05vs CWS0Under
2026-04-06vs LAD0Under
2026-04-07vs LAD0Under
2026-04-08vs LAD0Under
2026-04-10vs MIN0Under
2026-04-11vs MIN0Under
2026-04-12vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIL0Under
2026-04-15vs MIL0Under
2026-04-16vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs AZ0Under
2026-04-19vs AZ0Under
2026-04-19vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs CLE0Under
2026-04-26vs CLE0Under
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs BOS0Under
2026-04-29vs BOS1Over
2026-04-30vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN0Under
2026-05-03vs MIN0Under
2026-05-04vs TB0Under
2026-05-05vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-08vs LAA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA1Over
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-11vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-15vs DET0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs DET0Under
2026-05-18vs NYY1Over
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-20vs NYY0Under
2026-05-21vs NYY0Under
2026-05-22vs PIT0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT0Under
2026-05-24vs PIT0Under
2026-05-25vs MIA1Over
2026-05-26vs MIA1Over
2026-05-27vs MIA0Under
2026-05-28vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs BAL0Under
2026-05-30vs BAL0Under
2026-05-31vs BAL0Under
2026-06-02vs ATL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATL0Under
2026-06-04vs ATL0Under
2026-06-05vs BAL0Under
2026-06-06vs BAL1Over
2026-06-07vs BAL0Under
2026-06-08vs PHI1Over
2026-06-09vs PHI0Under
2026-06-10vs PHI0Under
2026-06-12vs NYY0Under
2026-06-13vs NYY0Under
2026-06-14vs NYY0Under
2026-06-16vs BOS0Under
2026-06-17vs BOS0Under
2026-06-18vs BOS0Under
2026-06-20vs CHC0Under
2026-06-22vs HOU0Under
2026-06-24vs HOU0Under
2026-06-25vs TEX0Under
2026-06-26vs TEX0Under
2026-06-27vs TEX0Under
2026-06-28vs TEX0Under
2026-06-29vs NYM0Under
2026-06-30vs NYM0Under
2026-07-01vs NYM0Under
2026-07-04vs SEA0Under
2026-07-04vs SEA0Under
2026-07-05vs SEA0Under
2026-07-07vs SF0Under
2026-07-08vs SF0Under
2026-07-08vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ernie Clement’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.