2B · CIN
Edwin Arroyo — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Edwin Arroyo (CIN) has averaged 0.78 hits per game across 27 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.8 over the last 10. 59% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.81, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Andre Pallante (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 0.5 +125 at BetMGM — model 43% to hit, -2.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Edwin Arroyo went over in 16 of 27 2026 games.
Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.31.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 16/27 | 59% |
| 1.5 | 3/27 | 11% |
| 2.5 | 1/27 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Arroyo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-07 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-09 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-27 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-28 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-29 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-09 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Edwin Arroyo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.