EdgeTake

RF · BAL

Dylan Beavers — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Total Bases
43
Per Game
1.07
Projection
1.37
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Dylan Beavers (BAL) sits at 1.08 total bases per game through 40 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. They've gone over 1.5 in 28% of those games. We project 1.37, ahead of the 1 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryce Elder (RHP)

vs LHP
.208
.439 OPS · 0 HR · 27 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.256
.742 OPS · 2 HR · 143 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -145 at Caesars — model 57% to hit, -4.4% EV.

Over 0.5 -145 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +115 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Dylan Beavers went over in 11 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 1.37 vs market line 1 — edge +0.37.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/4048%
1.511/4028%
2.56/4015%
3.53/408%

Share of 2026 games Beavers finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.07

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
1.23
Away (18)
0.89
Home edge
+0.34

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN2Over
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX6Over
2026-04-03vs PIT2Over
2026-04-04vs PIT1Under
2026-04-05vs PIT1Under
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-08vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF0Under
2026-04-11vs SF1Under
2026-04-12vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs AZ1Under
2026-04-14vs AZ0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE1Under
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC1Under
2026-04-22vs KC4Over
2026-04-24vs BOS6Over
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs HOU0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU1Under
2026-04-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-01vs NYY0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-04vs NYY1Under
2026-05-05vs MIA0Under
2026-05-06vs MIA2Over
2026-05-07vs MIA3Over
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH2Over
2026-05-10vs ATH3Over
2026-06-28vs WSH0Under
2026-06-29vs CWS0Under
2026-06-30vs CWS2Over
2026-07-03vs CIN0Under
2026-07-05vs CIN0Under
2026-07-07vs CHC0Under
2026-07-08vs CHC3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Dylan Beavers’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.