RF · BAL
Dylan Beavers — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 40 games this season, Dylan Beavers (BAL) is averaging 0.45 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. 38% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.51 lands right around the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Bryce Elder (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Dylan Beavers went over in 15 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/40 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 2/40 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Beavers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Dylan Beavers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.