EdgeTake

3B · LAA

Donovan Walton — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Hits
11
Per Game
1.10
Projection
1.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Donovan Walton (LAA) sits at 1.1 hits per game through 10 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 80% of games this season. We project 1.03, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -120 at Fanatics — model 59% to hit, +7.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -120 FanaticsUnder 0.5 +110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Donovan Walton went over in 8 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 1.03 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.53.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1080%
1.52/1020%
2.51/1010%

Share of 2026 games Walton finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.10

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.60
Away (5)
1.60
Home edge
-1.00

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-23vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET1Over
2026-05-27vs DET1Over
2026-05-28vs DET3Over
2026-05-30vs TB2Over
2026-05-31vs TB1Over
2026-06-02vs COL1Over
2026-06-03vs COL1Over
2026-06-04vs COL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Donovan Walton’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.