DH · ATL
Dominic Smith — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 50 games this season, Dominic Smith (ATL) is averaging 0.8 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 54% of games. Our model projects 0.92, a step above the market line of 0.58.
Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +160 at BetMGM — model 38% to hit, -0.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Dominic Smith went over in 27 of 50 2026 games.
Our projection 0.92 vs market line 0.58 — edge +0.34.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 27/50 | 54% |
| 1.5 | 8/50 | 16% |
| 2.5 | 4/50 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Dominic Smith’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.