RF · CWS
Derek Hill — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Derek Hill (CWS) sits at 0.68 total bases per game through 37 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 41% of games. We project 1.57, ahead of the 0.81 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -129 at Caesars — model 59% to hit, +4.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Derek Hill went over in 15 of 37 2026 games.
Our projection 1.57 vs market line 0.81 — edge +0.76.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/37 | 41% |
| 1.5 | 4/37 | 11% |
| 2.5 | 3/37 | 8% |
| 3.5 | 3/37 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Hill finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Derek Hill’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.