EdgeTake

3B · LAA

Denzer Guzman — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Stolen Bases
1
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Denzer Guzman (LAA) has averaged 0.09 stolen bases per game across 11 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 9% of those games. Our model projects 0.05, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Kyle Bradish (RHP)

vs LHP
.231
1.102 OPS · 2 HR · 15 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.286
.724 OPS · 1 HR · 37 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +880 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Denzer Guzman went over in 1 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/119%

Share of 2026 games Guzman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.09

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.20
Away (6)
0.00
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-06-09vs HOU0Under
2026-06-10vs HOU0Under
2026-06-13vs TB0Under
2026-06-14vs TB1Over
2026-06-14vs TB0Under
2026-06-16vs AZ0Under
2026-06-17vs AZ0Under
2026-06-17vs AZ0Under
2026-06-19vs ATH0Under
2026-06-20vs ATH0Under
2026-06-21vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Denzer Guzman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.