3B · LAA
Denzer Guzman — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Denzer Guzman (LAA) has averaged 0.45 runs per game across 11 games this season, trending up to 0.5 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 36% of games this season. Our projection of 0.46 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Kyle Bradish (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Denzer Guzman went over in 4 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/11 | 36% |
| 1.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Guzman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Denzer Guzman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.