3B · LAA
Denzer Guzman — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 11 games this season, Denzer Guzman (LAA) is averaging 0.18 home runs per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.14, short of the 1.09 market line.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Kyle Bradish (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Denzer Guzman went over in 0 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.14 vs market line 1.09 — edge -0.95.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/11 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Guzman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Denzer Guzman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.