EdgeTake

3B · LAA

Denzer Guzman — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Hits
11
Per Game
1.00
Projection
0.91
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Denzer Guzman (LAA) has averaged 1 hits per game across 11 games this season, trending up to 1.1 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 73% of those games. We project 0.91, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Kyle Bradish (RHP)

vs LHP
.231
1.102 OPS · 2 HR · 15 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.286
.724 OPS · 1 HR · 37 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -215 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Denzer Guzman went over in 8 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.91 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.41.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1173%
1.53/1127%
2.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Guzman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
1.00
Away (6)
1.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-06-09vs HOU0Under
2026-06-10vs HOU0Under
2026-06-13vs TB2Over
2026-06-14vs TB2Over
2026-06-14vs TB1Over
2026-06-16vs AZ1Over
2026-06-17vs AZ2Over
2026-06-17vs AZ1Over
2026-06-19vs ATH0Under
2026-06-20vs ATH1Over
2026-06-21vs ATH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Denzer Guzman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.