SS · MIL
David Hamilton — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
David Hamilton (MIL) has averaged 0.7 hits per game across 47 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 49% of games this season. We project 0.88, ahead of the 0.53 market line.
Next: @ COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +155 at BetMGM — model 40% to hit, +0.8% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), David Hamilton went over in 23 of 47 2026 games.
Our projection 0.88 vs market line 0.53 — edge +0.35.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 23/47 | 49% |
| 1.5 | 6/47 | 13% |
| 2.5 | 3/47 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Hamilton finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See David Hamilton’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.