EdgeTake

CF · TOR

Daulton Varsho — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Total Bases
86
Per Game
1.43
Projection
1.84
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Daulton Varsho (TOR) sits at 1.43 total bases per game through 60 games, while recent form sits lower at 1 over the last 10. 38% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 1.84 sits above the market line of 1.42.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +125 at BetMGM — model 43% to hit, -3.0% EV.

Over 1.5 +125 BetMGMUnder 1.5 -160 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Daulton Varsho went over in 23 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 1.84 vs market line 1.42 — edge +0.42.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.537/6062%
1.523/6038%
2.512/6020%
3.59/6015%

Share of 2026 games Varsho finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.43

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
1.24
Away (31)
1.61
Home edge
-0.37

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATH0Under
2026-03-28vs ATH2Over
2026-03-29vs ATH0Under
2026-03-30vs COL0Under
2026-03-31vs COL1Under
2026-04-02vs CWS2Over
2026-04-04vs CWS0Under
2026-04-05vs CWS1Under
2026-04-06vs LAD2Over
2026-04-07vs LAD0Under
2026-04-08vs LAD1Under
2026-04-10vs MIN6Over
2026-04-11vs MIN4Over
2026-04-12vs MIN4Over
2026-04-14vs MIL5Over
2026-04-15vs MIL1Under
2026-04-16vs MIL1Under
2026-04-18vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA2Over
2026-04-22vs LAA1Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs CLE0Under
2026-04-26vs CLE0Under
2026-04-27vs BOS2Over
2026-04-28vs BOS1Under
2026-04-29vs BOS0Under
2026-04-30vs MIN4Over
2026-05-02vs MIN1Under
2026-05-02vs MIN2Over
2026-05-03vs MIN3Over
2026-05-04vs TB0Under
2026-05-05vs TB1Under
2026-05-06vs TB1Under
2026-05-08vs LAA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA3Over
2026-05-10vs LAA2Over
2026-05-11vs TB1Under
2026-05-12vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs TB4Over
2026-05-15vs DET0Under
2026-05-16vs DET3Over
2026-05-17vs DET5Over
2026-05-18vs NYY1Under
2026-05-19vs NYY4Over
2026-05-20vs NYY2Over
2026-05-21vs NYY2Over
2026-05-22vs PIT0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT0Under
2026-05-24vs PIT1Under
2026-05-26vs MIA2Over
2026-05-27vs MIA0Under
2026-05-28vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs BAL5Over
2026-05-30vs BAL2Over
2026-05-31vs BAL0Under
2026-06-02vs ATL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATL1Under
2026-06-04vs ATL0Under
2026-06-05vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Daulton Varsho’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.