EdgeTake

SS · ATH

Darell Hernaiz — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Total Bases
34
Per Game
0.87
Projection
1
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Darell Hernaiz (ATH) sits at 0.87 total bases per game through 39 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.9. The over on 1.5 has hit in 21% of games. We project 1, ahead of the 0.7 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +104 at Caesars — model 47% to hit, -4.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +104 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Darell Hernaiz went over in 8 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 1 vs market line 0.7 — edge +0.3.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/3951%
1.58/3921%
2.55/3913%
3.51/393%

Share of 2026 games Hernaiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.87

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
1.17
Away (16)
0.44
Home edge
+0.74

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-29vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU1Under
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs NYY1Under
2026-04-09vs NYY1Under
2026-04-12vs NYM0Under
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-16vs TEX1Under
2026-04-19vs CWS4Over
2026-04-25vs TEX1Under
2026-04-26vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC1Under
2026-04-30vs KC3Over
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE1Under
2026-05-05vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL1Under
2026-05-14vs STL3Over
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs SF1Under
2026-05-17vs SF3Over
2026-05-17vs SF1Under
2026-05-19vs LAA0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA2Over
2026-05-21vs LAA0Under
2026-05-22vs LAA1Under
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-24vs SD1Under
2026-05-26vs SEA3Over
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA2Over
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY2Over
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Darell Hernaiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.