EdgeTake

SS · TEX

Corey Seager — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Runs
22
Per Game
0.52
Projection
0.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 42 games this season, Corey Seager (TEX) is averaging 0.52 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. 43% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.46 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +153 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -171 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Corey Seager went over in 18 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/4243%
1.54/4210%

Share of 2026 games Seager finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.52

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.29
Away (21)
0.76
Home edge
-0.48

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI1Over
2026-03-28vs PHI1Over
2026-03-29vs PHI1Over
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-03-31vs BAL2Over
2026-04-01vs BAL1Over
2026-04-03vs CIN0Under
2026-04-04vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs SEA1Over
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD1Over
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-14vs ATH2Over
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH2Over
2026-04-18vs SEA2Over
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA1Over
2026-04-22vs PIT1Over
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH1Over
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY1Over
2026-05-06vs NYY1Over
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ1Over
2026-05-14vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Corey Seager’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.