EdgeTake

SS · TEX

Corey Seager — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
50
Home Runs
10
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.17
Current Line
2.5
Outlook

Over 50 games this season, Corey Seager (TEX) is averaging 0.2 home runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.3. They've gone over 2.5 in 0% of those games. Our projection of 0.17 comes in under the market line of 1.08.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryan Woo (RHP)

vs LHP
.167
.536 OPS · 1 HR · 56 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.187
.711 OPS · 9 HR · 163 PA

Career vs Bryan Woo: 6-for-12, 2 HR (.500 AVG) over 18 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +305 Caesars

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Corey Seager went over in 0 of 50 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 1.08 — edge -0.91.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/5020%

Share of 2026 games Seager finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.20

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.09
Away (27)
0.30
Home edge
-0.21

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI1Under
2026-03-29vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-03-31vs BAL1Under
2026-04-01vs BAL1Under
2026-04-03vs CIN0Under
2026-04-04vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD1Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-14vs ATH0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH1Under
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs PIT0Under
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT1Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs NYY1Under
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-14vs AZ0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE1Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-09vs KC0Under
2026-06-10vs KC0Under
2026-06-11vs KC1Under
2026-06-25vs TOR0Under
2026-06-27vs TOR1Under
2026-06-28vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Corey Seager’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.