EdgeTake

RF · AZ

Corbin Carroll — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Hits
64
Per Game
1.08
Projection
1.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Corbin Carroll (AZ) has averaged 1.08 hits per game across 59 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 66% of games. We project 1.1, ahead of the 0.74 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +197 at DraftKings — model 33% to hit, -1.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -210 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +197 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Corbin Carroll went over in 39 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 1.1 vs market line 0.74 — edge +0.36.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.539/5966%
1.519/5932%
2.55/598%

Share of 2026 games Carroll finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.08

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
1.13
Away (28)
1.04
Home edge
+0.09

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD1Over
2026-03-28vs LAD0Under
2026-03-29vs LAD1Over
2026-03-31vs DET2Over
2026-04-01vs DET1Over
2026-04-01vs DET2Over
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL3Over
2026-04-07vs NYM1Over
2026-04-08vs NYM3Over
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI2Over
2026-04-13vs BAL1Over
2026-04-14vs BAL0Under
2026-04-15vs BAL2Over
2026-04-18vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS3Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL2Over
2026-04-30vs MIL2Over
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CHC1Over
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT2Over
2026-05-09vs NYM1Over
2026-05-09vs NYM1Over
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX1Over
2026-05-13vs TEX1Over
2026-05-14vs TEX1Over
2026-05-16vs COL2Over
2026-05-16vs COL1Over
2026-05-17vs COL2Over
2026-05-19vs SF2Over
2026-05-20vs SF1Over
2026-05-22vs COL1Over
2026-05-23vs COL2Over
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-24vs COL4Over
2026-05-25vs SF2Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA2Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA1Over
2026-06-02vs LAD1Over
2026-06-03vs LAD2Over
2026-06-04vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Corbin Carroll’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.