EdgeTake

RF · AZ

Corbin Carroll — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
90
Hits
87
Per Game
0.97
Projection
0.84
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Corbin Carroll (AZ) has averaged 0.97 hits per game across 90 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 63% of games. We project 0.84, ahead of the 0.68 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Michael McGreevy (RHP)

vs LHP
.351
1.024 OPS · 4 HR · 129 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.207
.748 OPS · 11 HR · 290 PA

Career vs Michael McGreevy: 0-for-4 (.000 AVG) over 4 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +140 at DraftKings — model 42% to hit, +0.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -157 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +140 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Corbin Carroll went over in 57 of 90 2026 games.

Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.68 — edge +0.16.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.557/9063%
1.523/9026%
2.56/907%

Share of 2026 games Carroll finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.97

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (46)
0.98
Away (44)
0.95
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD1Over
2026-03-28vs LAD0Under
2026-03-29vs LAD1Over
2026-03-31vs DET2Over
2026-04-01vs DET1Over
2026-04-01vs DET2Over
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL3Over
2026-04-07vs NYM1Over
2026-04-08vs NYM3Over
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI2Over
2026-04-13vs BAL1Over
2026-04-14vs BAL0Under
2026-04-15vs BAL2Over
2026-04-18vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS3Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL2Over
2026-04-30vs MIL2Over
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CHC1Over
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT2Over
2026-05-09vs NYM1Over
2026-05-09vs NYM1Over
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX1Over
2026-05-13vs TEX1Over
2026-05-14vs TEX1Over
2026-05-16vs COL2Over
2026-05-16vs COL1Over
2026-05-17vs COL2Over
2026-05-19vs SF2Over
2026-05-20vs SF1Over
2026-05-22vs COL1Over
2026-05-23vs COL2Over
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-24vs COL4Over
2026-05-25vs SF2Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA2Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA1Over
2026-06-02vs LAD1Over
2026-06-03vs LAD2Over
2026-06-04vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD3Over
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under
2026-06-07vs WSH1Over
2026-06-09vs MIA1Over
2026-06-10vs MIA1Over
2026-06-11vs MIA0Under
2026-06-12vs CIN1Over
2026-06-13vs CIN2Over
2026-06-14vs CIN0Under
2026-06-16vs LAA1Over
2026-06-17vs LAA1Over
2026-06-17vs LAA1Over
2026-06-20vs MIN3Over
2026-06-21vs MIN0Under
2026-06-21vs MIN1Over
2026-06-22vs STL2Over
2026-06-23vs STL0Under
2026-06-24vs STL1Over
2026-06-26vs TB2Over
2026-06-27vs TB1Over
2026-06-28vs TB0Under
2026-06-30vs SF0Under
2026-07-01vs SF0Under
2026-07-02vs SF0Under
2026-07-04vs MIL1Over
2026-07-05vs MIL0Under
2026-07-05vs MIL1Over
2026-07-07vs SD1Over
2026-07-08vs SD0Under
2026-07-09vs SD0Under
2026-07-10vs SD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Corbin Carroll’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.