CF · COL
Cole Carrigg — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Cole Carrigg (COL) sits at 1.91 total bases per game through 11 games, tracking close to that at 1.8 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 55% of games this season. Our model projects 1.86, a step above the market line of 1.4.
Next: vs BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 1.5 -135 at DraftKings — model 55% to hit, -3.8% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Cole Carrigg went over in 6 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 1.86 vs market line 1.4 — edge +0.46.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/11 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 6/11 | 55% |
| 2.5 | 4/11 | 36% |
| 3.5 | 3/11 | 27% |
Share of 2026 games Carrigg finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-11 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Cole Carrigg’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.