EdgeTake

CF · COL

Cole Carrigg — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Hits
9
Per Game
0.82
Projection
0.95
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 11 games this season, Cole Carrigg (COL) is averaging 0.82 hits per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 64% of those games. We project 0.95, ahead of the 0.66 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Jake Bennett (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.300
.783 OPS · 1 HR · 21 PA
vs RHP
.200
1.079 OPS · 2 HR · 28 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +200 at DraftKings — model 35% to hit, +6.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -235 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +200 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Cole Carrigg went over in 7 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.95 vs market line 0.66 — edge +0.29.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/1164%
1.52/1118%
2.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Carrigg finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.82

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
1.00
Away (6)
0.67
Home edge
+0.33

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-06-10vs CHC1Over
2026-06-11vs CHC0Under
2026-06-11vs CHC2Over
2026-06-13vs ATH1Over
2026-06-14vs ATH0Under
2026-06-14vs ATH2Over
2026-06-16vs CHC1Over
2026-06-17vs CHC0Under
2026-06-18vs CHC0Under
2026-06-20vs PIT1Over
2026-06-21vs PIT1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Cole Carrigg’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.