EdgeTake

RF · ATH

Colby Thomas — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Total Bases
20
Per Game
1.00
Projection
1.58
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 20 games this season, Colby Thomas (ATH) is averaging 1 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.7. The over on 1.5 has hit in 25% of games. Our model projects 1.58, a step above the market line of 1.42.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, +3.0% EV.

Over 1.5 +137 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Colby Thomas went over in 5 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 1.58 vs market line 1.42 — edge +0.16.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/2050%
1.55/2025%
2.53/2015%
3.52/2010%

Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
1.00

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.91
Away (9)
1.11
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-25vs TEX1Under
2026-04-29vs KC1Under
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE1Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE4Over
2026-05-05vs PHI1Under
2026-05-06vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs BAL2Over
2026-05-14vs STL3Over
2026-05-14vs STL1Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA2Over
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under
2026-06-04vs CHC4Over
2026-06-05vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colby Thomas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.