EdgeTake

RF · ATH

Colby Thomas — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Hits
12
Per Game
0.60
Projection
0.94
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Colby Thomas (ATH) sits at 0.6 hits per game through 20 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 50% of games this season. We project 0.94, ahead of the 0.56 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +165 at BetMGM — model 38% to hit, +0.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -190 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +165 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Colby Thomas went over in 10 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.94 vs market line 0.56 — edge +0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/2050%
1.52/2010%
2.50/200%

Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.60

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.55
Away (9)
0.67
Home edge
-0.12

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-25vs TEX1Over
2026-04-29vs KC1Over
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE1Over
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE1Over
2026-05-05vs PHI1Over
2026-05-06vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs BAL2Over
2026-05-14vs STL2Over
2026-05-14vs STL1Over
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA1Over
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under
2026-06-04vs CHC1Over
2026-06-05vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Colby Thomas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.