EdgeTake

3B · BAL

Coby Mayo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
69
Runs
28
Per Game
0.41
Projection
0.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Coby Mayo (BAL) sits at 0.41 runs per game through 69 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. We project 0.46, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryce Elder (RHP)

vs LHP
.280
1.072 OPS · 10 HR · 91 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.153
.452 OPS · 3 HR · 171 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -175 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Coby Mayo went over in 24 of 69 2026 games.

Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.524/6935%
1.53/694%

Share of 2026 games Mayo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.41

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (36)
0.47
Away (33)
0.33
Home edge
+0.14

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIN0Under
2026-03-28vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN1Over
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX1Over
2026-04-04vs PIT0Under
2026-04-06vs CWS0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-08vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs SF1Over
2026-04-12vs SF0Under
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE1Over
2026-04-21vs KC1Over
2026-04-22vs KC1Over
2026-04-24vs BOS1Over
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs HOU0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-01vs NYY0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY0Under
2026-05-05vs MIA0Under
2026-05-06vs MIA0Under
2026-05-07vs MIA1Over
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH0Under
2026-05-11vs NYY1Over
2026-05-12vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs NYY1Over
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-16vs WSH0Under
2026-05-17vs WSH1Over
2026-05-18vs TB0Under
2026-05-19vs TB0Under
2026-05-22vs DET0Under
2026-05-27vs TB3Over
2026-05-28vs TOR1Over
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-30vs TOR1Over
2026-06-02vs BOS1Over
2026-06-03vs BOS0Under
2026-06-04vs BOS1Over
2026-06-05vs TOR2Over
2026-06-06vs TOR0Under
2026-06-08vs SEA1Over
2026-06-09vs SEA2Over
2026-06-11vs SEA0Under
2026-06-12vs SD0Under
2026-06-13vs SD0Under
2026-06-14vs SD0Under
2026-06-20vs LAD1Over
2026-06-21vs LAD0Under
2026-06-21vs LAD0Under
2026-06-23vs LAA1Over
2026-06-24vs LAA0Under
2026-06-24vs LAA0Under
2026-06-26vs WSH1Over
2026-06-27vs WSH0Under
2026-06-28vs WSH0Under
2026-07-01vs CWS0Under
2026-07-05vs CIN0Under
2026-07-07vs CHC0Under
2026-07-08vs CHC1Over
2026-07-09vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Coby Mayo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.