DH · MIL
Christian Yelich — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Christian Yelich (MIL) has averaged 0.69 runs per game across 59 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. They've gone over 0.5 in 51% of those games. We project 0.65, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)
Career vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Christian Yelich went over in 30 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.65 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.15.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 30/59 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 10/59 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Yelich finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-07 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-11 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-22 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-29 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-07 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christian Yelich’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.