EdgeTake

DH · MIL

Christian Yelich — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Hits
56
Per Game
0.95
Projection
0.98
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Christian Yelich (MIL) has averaged 0.95 hits per game across 59 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. They've gone over 0.5 in 54% of those games. Our model projects 0.98, a step above the market line of 0.87.

Next matchup

Next: vs COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Ryan Feltner (RHP)

vs LHP
.257
.756 OPS · 2 HR · 84 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.237
.713 OPS · 5 HR · 221 PA

Career vs Ryan Feltner: 5-for-14 (.357 AVG) over 15 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +174 at DraftKings — model 36% to hit, -0.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -200 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +174 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Christian Yelich went over in 32 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 0.98 vs market line 0.87 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/5954%
1.519/5932%
2.55/598%

Share of 2026 games Yelich finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.95

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.00
Away (29)
0.90
Home edge
+0.10

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS2Over
2026-03-28vs CWS3Over
2026-03-29vs CWS1Over
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB2Over
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs KC2Over
2026-04-05vs KC2Over
2026-04-06vs BOS3Over
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS1Over
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN1Over
2026-05-18vs CHC2Over
2026-05-19vs CHC1Over
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL2Over
2026-05-26vs STL3Over
2026-05-27vs STL1Over
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU1Over
2026-05-31vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF3Over
2026-06-02vs SF2Over
2026-06-03vs SF1Over
2026-06-04vs SF2Over
2026-06-06vs COL0Under
2026-06-07vs COL2Over
2026-06-09vs ATH2Over
2026-06-10vs ATH2Over
2026-06-11vs ATH1Over
2026-06-12vs PHI0Under
2026-06-13vs PHI1Over
2026-06-16vs CLE0Under
2026-06-17vs CLE2Over
2026-06-18vs CLE1Over
2026-06-19vs ATL1Over
2026-06-21vs ATL0Under
2026-06-22vs CIN0Under
2026-06-24vs CIN0Under
2026-06-26vs CHC2Over
2026-06-27vs CHC0Under
2026-06-28vs CHC2Over
2026-06-29vs CIN0Under
2026-06-30vs CIN0Under
2026-07-02vs CIN0Under
2026-07-04vs AZ0Under
2026-07-05vs AZ1Over
2026-07-05vs AZ0Under
2026-07-06vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs STL3Over
2026-07-07vs STL0Under
2026-07-08vs STL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christian Yelich’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.