EdgeTake

C · HOU

Christian Vázquez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Total Bases
55
Per Game
0.96
Projection
0.94
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Christian Vázquez (HOU) is averaging 0.96 total bases per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.5 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 47% of those games. We project 0.94, ahead of the 0.76 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Davis Martin (RHP)

vs LHP
.205
.558 OPS · 1 HR · 48 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.212
.601 OPS · 4 HR · 152 PA

Career vs Davis Martin: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +100 at BetMGM — model 50% to hit, -0.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -127 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +100 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Christian Vázquez went over in 27 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.94 vs market line 0.76 — edge +0.18.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/5747%
1.512/5721%
2.58/5714%
3.55/579%

Share of 2026 games Vázquez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.96

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.84
Away (26)
1.12
Home edge
-0.28

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-29vs LAA1Over
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS4Over
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH5Over
2026-04-08vs COL1Over
2026-04-11vs SEA3Over
2026-04-15vs COL3Over
2026-04-18vs STL5Over
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY1Over
2026-04-25vs NYY1Over
2026-04-26vs NYY0Under
2026-04-30vs BAL2Over
2026-05-01vs BOS0Under
2026-05-03vs BOS2Over
2026-05-05vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN4Over
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA1Over
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN1Over
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN1Over
2026-05-22vs CHC5Over
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX2Over
2026-05-28vs TEX1Over
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL1Over
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT1Over
2026-06-04vs PIT2Over
2026-06-06vs ATH0Under
2026-06-06vs ATH3Over
2026-06-07vs ATH0Under
2026-06-10vs LAA0Under
2026-06-11vs LAA0Under
2026-06-13vs KC0Under
2026-06-13vs KC0Under
2026-06-16vs DET0Under
2026-06-17vs DET1Over
2026-06-21vs CLE0Under
2026-06-23vs TOR0Under
2026-06-25vs DET0Under
2026-06-27vs DET1Over
2026-06-30vs MIN1Over
2026-07-05vs TB1Over
2026-07-07vs WSH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Christian Vázquez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.